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The Chiefs are favored by Where can you find value as you make your NFL bets, and which teams will fall flat? The model enters Week 16 on an incredible roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the season. Anyone who has followed it is way up. Head to SportsLine now to see them all. Both teams have had difficult seasons, with Houston entering Week 16 at overall and the Bengals at However, this line would likely be close to double-digits if Cincinnati had not shocked Pittsburgh in Week Despite the thrilling win, Cincinnati is still in a precarious situation at quarterback and will have a difficult time keeping pace with a Houston offense that ranks third in passing yardage.
Deshaun Watson has had a stellar year with 4, yards and 27 touchdowns against just six interceptions while rushing for another yards and three more scores. Watson has thrown for at least yards in eight of his last 11 starts, while Cincinnati ranks 25th in net yards per pass attempt allowed 6. That's why the model predicts that Watson produces nearly yards of total offense overall and scores multiple touchdowns.
Meanwhile, Houston's defense records three sacks and forces a pair of turnovers in the model's simulations, helping the Texans cover well over 50 percent of the time. The Chargers have won each of their last two games, while Denver limps into Sunday's AFC West rivalry having lost five of its last seven.
Los Angeles is averaging Quarterback Justin Herbert has been sensational in his rookie season and enters Sunday's showdown with 27 touchdown passes, which is tied with Baker Mayfield for the most passing touchdowns by a rookie in NFL history. Herbert also had a ton of success against the Broncos earlier this season, throwing for yards and three touchdowns. The line opened at Los Angeles The model is calling for Herbert to throw for over yards and two scores, while running back Austin Ekeler racks up over 90 yards from scrimmage.
Los Angeles covers the spread in well over 50 percent of simulations, while the over 48 has all the value. The model has also made the call on every other game on the Week 16 NFL schedule and identified a Super Bowl contender that goes down hard. You can only get every pick for every game here.
What NFL picks can you make with confidence in Week 16? And which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? Cleveland Browns vs. Cincinnati Bengals vs. Houston Texans -7, Depending to what degree the Steelers can right their offensive ship Monday night, there could be some trouble for the Colts in this road matchup.
Indy has given up an average of The Colts will face a Steelers defense that could be due for a bit of regression but is still one of the top units in the league. The scheme and the remaining healthy bodies continue to make the Steelers a very tough out against both the run and pass, however. In what is one of the most intriguing matchups of the week, the Steelers are currently listed at.
The Texans will look to bounce back from yet another defeat, as they gave the division-rival Colts plenty of trouble Sunday before falling by a score. Late-season matchups between two non-contending teams with questionable defenses can always be interesting, so even the sputtering Bengals attack could potentially find success here. The Texans could choose to attack through either the ground or air themselves.
David Johnson is also coming off a season-high 11 receptions versus Indianapolis, potentially portending a bigger passing game role over the last two games. Despite just two wins separating these teams going into Monday night, oddsmakers currently have the Texans as big home favorites. The Falcons further cemented their reputation as the kings of the second-half collapse Sunday, blowing a halftime lead against the Buccaneers in route to a loss.
The Chiefs got every bit the battle they would have expected from the Saints in the Superdome but prevailed by a margin. A Falcons unit that just gave up a season-high yards to Tom Brady on Sunday is therefore about as inviting a target as it gets for Patrick Mahomes and his pass-catching weapons. Unsurprisingly, a Chiefs team still battling for the No. The Jaguars did some maneuvering of their own with their loss to the Ravens, only in their case, it was to position themselves for the No.
Mitchell Trubisky continued a strong stretch of play against Minnesota and now the matchup gets even more favorable for the third overall pick. The Jaguars just gave up yards and three touchdowns to Lamar Jackson, hardly a prolific passer. Jacksonville yields The Bears can get after the quarterback pretty effectively 33 sacks , while the Jags have given up 37 sacks after allowing Minshew to be brought down five times Week With the Bears having plenty to play for and the Jaguars perhaps incentivized to an extent to lose out, Chicago is currently listed as a solid road favorite.
The Broncos were no match for the red-hot Bills on Saturday afternoon, dropping a decision to Buffalo. The Chargers were able to notch a second straight victory at the expense of the division-rival Raiders, pulling off a overtime win Thursday night.
Denver is nowhere near as inept as it may have looked against Buffalo. Neither team is alive for the postseason, either, so caution could be thrown to the wind by an already aggressive Drew Lock. However, Los Angeles restricts wideout production with the best of them, tying with the Chiefs for fewest receptions surrendered to the position. The backfield duo of Melvin Gordon and Phillip Lindsay could be in for a much more productive afternoon, however — the Bolts have given up The two notably combined for a line in a wild Week 8 one-point loss against what was a healthier Denver secondary.
Oddsmakers are expecting another hotly contested game despite the lack of postseason motivation on either side. The host Chargers are currently listed at. Meanwhile, Lindsay has been placed on injured reserve by the Broncos.
Haskins continued to display some of the same troubling turnover tendencies against the Seahawks that have plagued him thus far in his young career. There is a silver lining in that the Panthers have only managed five interceptions all season. Then, even if Antonio Gibson toe remains out for this game, Washington could find success on the ground against a defense that gave up yards and a touchdown to Aaron Jones on Saturday and allows 4. The line currently sits at for the hosts.
However, Antonio Gibson is expected to return from a two-game absence and fill his usual role. The Eagles almost made it 2-for-2 with Jalen Hurts at the helm in Week 15, falling just short against the Cardinals by a score. The Cowboys were involved in a high-scoring affair of their own and came out ahead, besting the 49ers by a score and positioning themselves for this key contest in the process.
The Cowboys defense has been trampled on the ground most of the season, yielding an NFL-high The Cowboys will look to exploit a questionable Philly front seven as well. Ezekiel Elliott was a surprise late inactive due to a calf injury Sunday and Tony Pollard took advantage to the tune of total yards 69 rushing, 63 receiving and a pair of rushing scores.
Pollard showed more explosiveness than Elliott has in weeks and could well draw the start again here versus an Eagles defense that surrenders Nevertheless, the projected advantage for Philly has only grown throughout the week as bettors go in on the Eagles. The Seahawks secondary is playing much better of late, however, with their improvement coinciding with Jamal Adams finally getting back to health.
The matchup on the ground will be much less appealing. Seattle allows the third-fewest rushing yards per game The Seahawks only mustered 16 points versus Los Angeles in that aforementioned first meeting, with Russell Wilson throwing two interceptions. Despite Sam Darnold surprisingly finding success at times against Los Angeles on Sunday, the Rams secondary remains elite and is the primary reason for the team giving up the fewest passing yards per game Metcalf in a Week 10 game where they held the second-year star to a season-low two receptions and 28 yards.
In what should be one of the most competitive games of the week, the host Seahawks are currently listed at. However, the line has remained steady despite the news, with no real appreciable move toward Seattle evident as of early Sunday morning. The Titans got some fight from the short-handed Lions in Week 15 but ultimately pulled away by a score.
Tennessee remains in a battle with the Colts for the AFC South crown, as both teams will enter Week 15 tied atop the division standings. Meanwhile, the Pack is surrendering 4. Tennessee is allowing Nevertheless, the Pack leads the NFL with 34 pass plays of greater than 25 yards and has a fully healthy receiving corps.
Then, Aaron Jones could have a solid chance of putting together a strong encore performance after racking up yards versus Carolina. The Titans have given up This marquee interconference matchup should draw plenty of betting interest. Currently, the Packers are listed as home favorites. The Bills continued their fine season with a remarkable division-clinching victory against the Broncos on Saturday afternoon. Meanwhile, the Patriots, who have long dominated the AFC East, fell out of playoff contention 24 hours later against another upstart division rival — the Dolphins.
Buffalo has a complete offense that has the capability of transcending any matchup at this stage of the season.
Don't get caught up in what has happened recently. Look at the bigger picture in addition to the short-term trends, and make a balanced decision on your picks. Don't go all-in based on one surprising result from one game. As we move on into Week 16, the biggest questions are, as always, at the quarterback spot. It's unclear who the Washington Football Team's starting quarterback will be with Alex Smith calf hurt and Dwayne Haskins being spotted maskless at a strip club following their loss to the Seahawks.
The 49ers will be onto their third quarterback of the season as well, as C. Beathard will take over for an injured Nick Mullens. That could give the Bucs a big-time coaching advantage against the shorthanded Lions staff, so the result of that situation and contest will surely be worth watching. Below are the latest Week 16 NFL odds, including point spreads, money lines and over-under totals for every game, according to the DraftKings sportsbook.
This is the first time since that the New England Patriots have been eliminated from playoff contention and, unbelievably, it's the earliest they've been eliminated from the playoffs since before Tom Brady was a starter. There's a real chance that they could come out flat even ahead of a prime-time game with a divisional rival. The Patriots also lost Stephon Gilmore for the year to an injury, and their defense will be much worse off without the reigning Defensive Player of the Year.
Josh Allen and the Bills offense are red-hot while their defense has come on of late. The Bills could turn this one into a blowout as they look to bury the Patriots and make the statement that they are the next juggernaut to come out of the AFC East.
The Rams lost to the Jets last week, but they are in a good bounce-back spot here. Earlier in the season, they beat the Seahawks at home and forced Russell Wilson into one of his worst games of the season. And on offense, Jared Goff's receivers should be open plenty against a defense that has allowed more yardage to WRs than any team in the NFL.
The Rams could win this one outright, so if we're getting points with them, even on the road, it's worth taking them in a favorable matchup. Despite being without DeVante Parker, Mike Gesicki, Jakeem Grant, and Preston Williams against the Patriots, the Dolphins were still able to emerge with a victory thanks to efficient play from Tua Tagovailoa and an excellent effort from the team's defense.
Most sportsbooks offer different ways to read to Super Bowl Odds. In the fractional NFL Futures Odds format below, you simply take the odds and multiply by the amount wagered. If you are in a state where online betting is legal, we encourage you to check out our sportsbook directory to find the most trustworthy and reputable sites and mobile apps to place your Super Bowl bets.
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