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We have placed cookies on your device to help make this website better. You can adjust your cookie settingsotherwise we'll assume you're okay to continue. Privacy Policy. Home Search In. Previous Fields Gender Female. Profile Information Location southampton hampshire. Gutted im going to miss this one sounds like a great place to go, next year I will make sure i book my holiday round the gp dates.

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Pj walsh sports insights betting

Contrarian bettors understand that a full NFL offseason of the draft, free agency, player development and coaching changes means the upcoming season will be vastly different than last year and will take full advantage of the value this creates in the Week 1 betting market. Atlanta Falcons. We're hitting the ground running as contrarian bettors with our first play of the season. The Falcons were a couple of questionable play calls run the ball!

With a paltry 22 percent of spread bets taking the Bears, it's clear that public bettors want no part of Chicago in this matchup. At the time of publication, only the 49ers receiving 20 percent against the Panthers are a less popular public side. This is a classic contrarian matchup, and with the public all over the Falcons, we'll zag and take Chicago as 7-point home underdogs.

One of the biggest storylines this offseason was the performance or lack thereof of Jacksonville quarterback Blake Bortles and whether he'd lose the Week 1 starting job to backup Chad Henne. Bortles held on to the job, for now, but this soap opera has certainly influenced bettors who are all over Houston in Week 1.

Arizona Cardinals This matchup is a rare situation where our contrarian betting system finds itself on the same side of public bettors. The action isn't overwhelmingly one-sided, but Arizona is receiving 62 percent of spread bets as 1. Backed by this week's system results, we still believe this is a good opportunity to back a talented team that underperformed in Tennessee Titans -2 vs.

Oakland Raiders. This storyline has had an effect on public bettors with 62 percent of spread tickets taking the Raiders. Interestingly, this line opened with Oakland as small favorites, and even with the majority of public action, the line has moved in the opposite direction to Tennessee This type of line movement, also known as "reverse line movement," is an indicator that sharp money has come down on one side of a game.

The public is overvaluing Oakland, and sharps have jumped on Tennessee, making Titans -2 a nice opportunity to fade the public while also following professional action. Pittsburgh Steelers. Following a campaign with a rookie starter under center, it's not surprising to see public bettors avoiding Cleveland in their Week 1 matchup against Pittsburgh.

Seventy percent of spread bets are on the Steelers, and don't be shocked to see that number climb as more recreational money hits the market this week and over the weekend. This certainly qualifies as an ugly play, but there is data pointing towards the Browns as a side offering value. Skip to navigation.

Contrarian betting strategy for NFL Week 1. Boston Celtics. Dave Marcelo, TNT agree to two-year deal. Tungcab, Heading, Rangel named to special Gilas draft. Dubs' Wiseman wrist out at least another week. Golden State Warriors.

Therefore, my assumption is that drivers will take it easy for those first 30 laps to get back up to speed, make plenty of changes to help the handling of their cars during the competition caution, then really turn it loose from there. In Bowman, we get one of the fastest cars this season and a front-row starting spot at a solid price.

NJ and IN only. In addition, Busch finished third at Auto Club Speedway in March, another high tire-wear track and the closest comparison we have to Darlington this season. Five talking points from the Australian Open on Thursday:. The paper later changed the headline. Magic coach Steve Clifford made sure he got a pregame moment with Stephen Curry, who is from Charlotte where Clifford used to work and is friends with the superstar's father, Dell. Curry proceeded to go off on Orlando shortly thereafter.

Curry knocked down 10 3-pointers on the way to 40 points and also contributed eight rebounds and five assists, leading the Golden State Warriors past the undermanned Magic on Thursday night. The situation between the Seahawks and quarterback Russell Wilson has escalated quickly, with Wilson clearly not happy and with the team reportedly not happy that Wilson is displaying his unhappiness in a public setting. So where does it go from here?

Wilson apparently has not yet asked for a trade, but it could be moving [more]. Unofficially, his left knee is messed up. Coach Bruce Arians said that Brady needs minor surgery on his left knee. Stephen Curry reacts to Philadelphia 76ers guard Seth Curry's historic stat line. Trade talks seem to be heating up. After LaMelo Ball did not see the court in the fourth quarter vs.

Memphis, head coach James Borrego explained the reasoning for his benching. Semi Ojeleye and Payton Pritchard became the first Celtics duo in franchise history to accomplish this impressive feat. Alex Bowman and William Byron were slated to lead the Daytona field to green but that's in danger following Thursday night's qualifying races.

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Because of this,. How to Bet. Las Vegas vacations are incredible, and thanks to modern technology, traveling to Sin City has gotten more convenient due to the plethora of apps available right from your mobile device. Some bets seem solid, some even seem great, and then there are those that you almost break your finger submitting before sportsbooks can move the line.

For the first time. This line immediately offered value. Through the first five games of the NBA Finals, professional bettors were very much aligned on how to play each Raptors-Warriors matchup, whether that meant the point spread or. This is it. With the Stanley Cup Final tied at three games apiece, the winner-take-all showdown between the St. Louis Blues and Boston Bruins begins tonight at 8 p.

Monday Betting Odds Updates 12 p. Backed by this week's system results, we still believe this is a good opportunity to back a talented team that underperformed in Tennessee Titans -2 vs. Oakland Raiders. This storyline has had an effect on public bettors with 62 percent of spread tickets taking the Raiders. Interestingly, this line opened with Oakland as small favorites, and even with the majority of public action, the line has moved in the opposite direction to Tennessee This type of line movement, also known as "reverse line movement," is an indicator that sharp money has come down on one side of a game.

The public is overvaluing Oakland, and sharps have jumped on Tennessee, making Titans -2 a nice opportunity to fade the public while also following professional action. Pittsburgh Steelers. Following a campaign with a rookie starter under center, it's not surprising to see public bettors avoiding Cleveland in their Week 1 matchup against Pittsburgh.

Seventy percent of spread bets are on the Steelers, and don't be shocked to see that number climb as more recreational money hits the market this week and over the weekend. This certainly qualifies as an ugly play, but there is data pointing towards the Browns as a side offering value. Skip to navigation. Contrarian betting strategy for NFL Week 1. Boston Celtics. Dave Marcelo, TNT agree to two-year deal. Tungcab, Heading, Rangel named to special Gilas draft. Dubs' Wiseman wrist out at least another week.

Golden State Warriors. AD practices, says he's being careful with Achilles. Los Angeles Lakers. Atlanta Hawks. Wiz to rest top scorer Beal; 1st time this season. Washington Wizards. How the East can ruin the Nets' title plans.

Brooklyn Nets. PBA off-season trades and transactions. Franky Johnson: I thrive best when it's physical and rough. UFC Kamaru Usman vs. Gilbert Burns -- How to watch and stream, plus expert analysis and predictions. Don't let the name fool you: Joe Smith isn't an ordinary boxer.

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For savvy contrarian bettors, this is another chance to let overreactions to very small sample sizes provide valuable wagering opportunities by pinpointing which games public bettors are hammering and taking advantage of the additional value this creates. To help unearth which NFL Week 2 games are offering value, I fired up our Bet Labs data analysis software and created a betting system with a Skip to navigation.

Contrarian NFL betting strategy for Week 2. Source: Bucs' Brady to have minor knee surgery. Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Jags' Meyer defends hiring controversial Doyle. Jacksonville Jaguars. Aussie Open to continue sans fans amid lockdown.

LA's Bauer says he is 'committed to being better'. Los Angeles Dodgers. Source: Raiders plan to cut receiver Williams. Las Vegas Raiders. NAIA basketball team forfeits game over kneeling. Boston Celtics. Wooden Watch: Which freshman should be the top Wooden Award candidate? Oklahoma State Cowboys. Iowa Hawkeyes. Soccer's clutch players: Messi's always good, but Lukaku and Morata come through when it counts. Pulisic's performance will do little to convince Tuchel of his worth. While betting on bad teams has always been a pillar of the contrarian betting strategy employed at Sports Insights, we've also had success "selling on good.

Considering this concept of selling on good, I used our Bet Labs data analysis software to examine how savvy bettors can take advantage of teams on ATS win streaks. After running the numbers, I uncovered a system with an ATS win rate of The table below displays the results, dating back to the NFL season.

Skip to navigation. Betting: Finding value in Week 4. Source: Bucs' Brady to have minor knee surgery. Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Jags' Meyer defends hiring controversial Doyle. Jacksonville Jaguars. Stafford: Trade request 'hardest conversation'. Los Angeles Rams.

Source: Raiders plan to cut receiver Williams. Las Vegas Raiders. Seattle Seahawks.

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Jags' Meyer defends hiring controversial Doyle. Jacksonville Jaguars. Aussie Open to continue sans fans amid lockdown. LA's Bauer says he is 'committed to being better'. Los Angeles Dodgers. Source: Raiders plan to cut receiver Williams. Las Vegas Raiders. NAIA basketball team forfeits game over kneeling. Boston Celtics. Wooden Watch: Which freshman should be the top Wooden Award candidate? Oklahoma State Cowboys. Iowa Hawkeyes. Soccer's clutch players: Messi's always good, but Lukaku and Morata come through when it counts.

Pulisic's performance will do little to convince Tuchel of his worth. Spurs' rematch with Man City will show if Mourinho can win a trophy. Big 12 football schedule Dates and key matchups. Baylor Bears. Rays lose again: Blake Snell laughs at Twitter roast of his former team. Tampa Bay Rays. Seattle Storm. Jags' Meyer defends hiring controversial Doyle. Jacksonville Jaguars.

Stafford: Trade request 'hardest conversation'. Los Angeles Rams. Source: Raiders plan to cut receiver Williams. Las Vegas Raiders. Seattle Seahawks. Training site to simulate combine with own event. Five crucial leadership moments for Coach of the Year Kevin Stefanski. Why is CB one of Packers' big needs?

See Kevin King's final week. Why T. Hockenson figures to be big part of Lions' offense in ' Don't panic, Jaguars fans: They're not going to blow the top pick. Detroit Lions.

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Market-setting sportsbooks like Westgate and Bookmaker opened their numbers way back in April, giving bettors four and a half months to analyze Week 1 lines. However, a very small percentage of the information released over that span is actually meaningful, leading to public bettors overanalyzing mainstream media reports, coach speak and preseason game results. For the purpose of this column, we define public bettors as recreational bettors who place their wagers based on their gut instincts and often overreact to the most recent results and data.

Public bettors historically bet for "action" because they'll be watching a game instead of betting value, which is a key difference between recreational players and professional bettors. With this in mind, I turned to our Bet Labs sports betting analysis software and created a Week 1 NFL betting system that has returned a profit of plus To start, I looked at how teams that didn't make the playoffs performed against teams that did.

From a high level, it's reasonable to assume that bettors will overvalue last year's playoffs teams, especially when playing a "bad" team defined by not making the playoffs from last year. This simple concept returned an ATS against the spread win rate of Expanding on the theory that public bettors will fade or bet against poor teams from the previous season, I then filtered down our non-playoff teams even further by including only those that finished the year with an ATS record of below 50 percent.

This ensures that we're isolating teams that were not profitable for bettors, providing even more reason for public bettors to avoid them in Week 1. I touched on it a bit in the introduction, but the saturation of NFL content and analysis during the summer months drives bettors to overvalue last year's "good" teams that made the playoffs.

Contrarian bettors understand that a full NFL offseason of the draft, free agency, player development and coaching changes means the upcoming season will be vastly different than last year and will take full advantage of the value this creates in the Week 1 betting market. Atlanta Falcons. We're hitting the ground running as contrarian bettors with our first play of the season.

The Falcons were a couple of questionable play calls run the ball! With a paltry 22 percent of spread bets taking the Bears, it's clear that public bettors want no part of Chicago in this matchup. At the time of publication, only the 49ers receiving 20 percent against the Panthers are a less popular public side. This is a classic contrarian matchup, and with the public all over the Falcons, we'll zag and take Chicago as 7-point home underdogs. One of the biggest storylines this offseason was the performance or lack thereof of Jacksonville quarterback Blake Bortles and whether he'd lose the Week 1 starting job to backup Chad Henne.

Bortles held on to the job, for now, but this soap opera has certainly influenced bettors who are all over Houston in Week 1. Arizona Cardinals This matchup is a rare situation where our contrarian betting system finds itself on the same side of public bettors. The action isn't overwhelmingly one-sided, but Arizona is receiving 62 percent of spread bets as 1. Backed by this week's system results, we still believe this is a good opportunity to back a talented team that underperformed in Tennessee Titans -2 vs.

Oakland Raiders. This storyline has had an effect on public bettors with 62 percent of spread tickets taking the Raiders. Interestingly, this line opened with Oakland as small favorites, and even with the majority of public action, the line has moved in the opposite direction to Tennessee This type of line movement, also known as "reverse line movement," is an indicator that sharp money has come down on one side of a game.

The public is overvaluing Oakland, and sharps have jumped on Tennessee, making Titans -2 a nice opportunity to fade the public while also following professional action. After LaMelo Ball did not see the court in the fourth quarter vs. Memphis, head coach James Borrego explained the reasoning for his benching.

Semi Ojeleye and Payton Pritchard became the first Celtics duo in franchise history to accomplish this impressive feat. Alex Bowman and William Byron were slated to lead the Daytona field to green but that's in danger following Thursday night's qualifying races. Bowman had an engine problem in the first mile race and, if his motor needs to be changed, he'll forfeit Sunday's pole. That something was captured by NFL Films microphones.

Make up to break up? ESPN thinks that while the Cowboys are saying all the right things, in the end it will be another failed negotiating session. Serena Williams advanced to the Australian Open fourth round, where she will play her first top opponent in 17 months. Dak Prescott's franchise tag drama continues in Dallas; the free agency period could also bring cornerback and defensive line help.

Michigan football recruit Alex VanSumeren, the brother of a Wolverines linebacker, has re-opened his recruitment. Read full article. More content below. Story continues. Latest Stories. The Independent. Associated Press.

Sixers Wire. Colts Wire. Lonzo Wire.

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pj walsh sports insights betting Soccer's clutch players: Messi's always good, but Lukaku and Morata ATS win rate of The. Wooden Watch: Which freshman should. Big 12 football schedule Dates minor knee surgery. Training site to simulate combine. Rays lose again: Blake Snell laughs at Twitter roast of. Source: Bucs' Brady to have and key matchups. Pulisic's performance will do little with own event. com i want to invest in forex business real estate. Betting: Finding value in Week. Spurs' rematch with Man City will show if Mourinho can.

By PJ Walsh. NCAA Football, NFL and NHL Square Plays, which are free to Premium Pro members, are currently + units, combined. The table below shows. By PJ Walsh. Sunday morning, Sports Insights President Dan Fabrizio hosted a live webinar designed to help bettors make smarter bets in the. PJ Walsh. Posts. Sports bettor and Editor at The Action Network. @​PJWalsh24 Email the of sports betting. NFL Preseason Betting: Insight into Colts vs.