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As such, the underlying index has a positive correlation to GDP, which is often observed and taken into account when making price predictions. As GDP grows, small-cap stocks tend to outperform their large-cap counterparts.
The large-caps, on the other hand, have, in most cases, international operations and exposure to Europe and emerging markets and are less correlated to the US GDP. This is further confirmed by Robert Johnson , a finance professor from the Creighton University who concluded that in the period — , small-caps annual returns were estimated at Being less global also gives small caps more exposure to several positive factors in the US, including tax reform, increasing deregulation and faster economic growth relative to weaker recoveries in Europe and Japan.
The fact that small-cap stocks service debt and acquire new capital easier in periods of low interest rates explains why they outperform their large-cap counterparts in times of loosened monetary policy. Global trade wars and deteriorating international relations also favor small caps as they tend to make the most significant part of their revenue domestically. To bridge the gaps with individual traders and investors with smaller portfolios, in May , the CME introduced the micro E-mini Russell futures M2K.
You can consider choosing the M2K if you are looking at low-cost opportunities but still want to take advantage of the growth potential of the US small-cap equity market. In fact, the Micro E-mini futures contract proved to be a huge success, exceeding a volume of 32 million in its first three months. The instrument is preferred by a variety of traders as it allows long and short speculative opportunities over the Russell The fact that the Russell is comprised of small-cap stocks willing to take more risks in their businesses means it is exposed to higher volatility.
If we make a comparison between the Russell and the Russell an index tracking the top US companies by market cap , we will see that the volatility is much higher. The effect is multiplied in times of market turbulences like the market crash, as well as economically stressed periods like the — , — , and — When the market instability slows down, the volatility also declines.
For example, official data shows that, over the period — , the average rolling month volatility for the Russell is estimated at approximately This is something investors should keep in mind when going for the E-mini Russell Futures contracts. The index measures the expected day volatility of the Russell Index and can give you a new tool for monitoring volatility expectations in the U. But how can the RVX help you? The volatility index may prove useful if you are trying to time the market and avoid concerns about buying at the top.
Usually, a good entry time to go long on the Russell is when the RVX peaks. If you want to get a better understanding of the upcoming market movements, make sure to combine it with momentum indicators like the RSI, for example.
Investors in futures contracts buy them with the hope that the price goes up and sell them if they expect a decrease. In this regard, it is no different from trading any other instrument. It is worth noting, though, that futures contracts are a preferred choice by speculators due to their suitability for spread trading. But how does spread trading work on practice?
The E-mini Russell Futures, for example, are often used to take advantage of price discrepancies by taking long and short positions simultaneously. By having a buy and a sell order at the same time, the trader hopes that the profit on the one end of the spread will exceed the losses on the other. To understand the strategy in detail, we should take a moment and focus on the different types of futures spreads. There are two main types of spreads— intra-market and inter-market.
Intra-market spreads describe situations where the trader buys and sells the same underlying instrument in this case, the E-mini Russell Futures contracts but in different delivery months. For example — an intra-market spread is when you go long on an E-mini Russell Futures in June and go short on the same instrument in December. The main goal of the strategy is to capitalize on the potential price discrepancies between the two delivery months.
In this case, the trader tries to capitalize on the performance of large- and small-cap companies. Think of spread trading as a form of arbitrage. Spread trading can prove successful in both bullish and bearish markets. You may wonder why you should go for both a short and a long position and suffer a guaranteed loss.
Unfortunately, we are no Warren Buffets, and there is a chance you will struggle to time the market accurately. That is why traders prefer spread trading. While not as profitable as sole long and short positions, when they are successful, spread trading reduces the risk significantly.
The chance that you will register a profit on one or either side of the spread is much higher when compared to trading outright a short or a long position. Some traders also navigate between instruments covering small-, mid-, and large-cap stocks to increase their investment horizon and bring more opportunities on the table. The variety of combinations between those three indices allows traders to come up with spread strategies including buying and selling small- vs.
The different variations of the Russell can also be thrown in the mix. For example, you can construct a spread trading strategy, including the growth and value index modifications. If you think small-cap growth companies will outperform small-cap value stocks, then you can go long on the Russell Growth index and short on the Russell Value index. However, if you plan on applying spread strategies, you should also take into account the notional size of the separate index futures, as they may differ from each other.
Often times, to retain a more dollar-neutral position, you may be required to trade in a ratio like , for example two RTY for one ES. What E-mini futures instruments and ETFs both have in common is the fact they had been among the most popular and successful investible instruments for the last 25 years. Although there is no clear answer which one should you choose in the general case, the truth is that both have their pros and cons, depenyding on the situation, the type of investor, and his goals.
However, the E-mini futures contracts have some clear advantages when compared to ETFs. One is the lower commissions. Usually, futures contracts are much bigger in size. This means it will require close to IWM contracts to equal one RTY, which often results in higher transaction costs. In some cases, ETF instruments allow for after-hours trading. The futures contracts, on the other hand, can be traded over 22 hours per day. Even though the cash equity market is closed during a big part of the trading hours, futures contracts are still known for their excellent liquidity.
With the ETF, for example, you can hold the instrument in perpetuity. Although maintaining your futures positions throughout the year incurs some additional costs, it is way lower when compared to the 0. It is also worth considering the taxing matter on both instruments. The important thing here is, what will they take home at the end of the day? The answer is it depends on how both cases are treated from a tax standpoint. The short-term gain of the ETF investor is taxed at an ordinary income rate.
Depending on which tax bracket the investor is, this may result in excessive taxes. Depending on the size of the profit, the tax savings in the case of the futures investments may be huge. However, the futures prices are discounted, so that they can reflect the lack of dividend payments. When investing in a futures contract, it is very crucial to always keep track of the situation with the underlying asset in this case, the Russell The Russell indices are reconstituted in May and June each year.
Around that time of the year, more advanced investors and funds base their trading strategies on the shifts within the indices by trying to predict which companies will be included and which will be excluded. Overview of BBB Rating. Need to file a complaint? BBB is here to help. What do you think? Be the first to review! BBB Business Profiles may not be reproduced for sales or promotional purposes.
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