Display posts from previous. All posts 1 day 7 days 2 weeks 1 month 3 months 6 months 1 year. Author Post time Subject Ascending Descending. The perfect indicatoris our head Too many indicators confuse the head. Raff Channel indicator The indicator plots a trend channel using the technique by Gilbert Raff. The channel axis is a first-order regression. The upper and lower lines show the maximum distance the Close line had moved away from the axis line.
Therefore, the upper and lower lines can be considered as resistance and support lines, respectively. As a rule, most movements of the price occur within a channel, going beyond the support or resistance line only for a short time. If the price remains outside the channel longer than usual or went far enough, it could mean a change in the trend.
Thus, the channel contains fairly complete overview of the aggregate price movements, which allows predicting the upcoming price movement with a high probability. Depending on the settings, the indicator can be applied to implement various strategies for trading within a channel or trading channel boundaries. The indicator can be used independently or in combination with other technical analysis tools.
It is possible to place two instances of the indicator with different calculation intervals on one chart at the same time. In this case, it is possible to improve the accuracy of market entries on a local trend with consideration of the global trend. Know Thy Setup. Know Thyself. Moving linear regression can be considered a moving average substitute. For trend and momentum traders, these can all be borne out with moving linear regression.
For those who trade price reversals, a crossover strategy using moving linear regression could be viable. It may even be preferable with the way moving linear regression is more responsive to price. By that thinking, reversals could be caught sooner relative to moving averages. In the trade examples section below, we will consider applying moving linear regression to both trend following and price reversal systems.
For moving linear regression, there will be two lines — one with a period of 20 and another with a period of Therefore, if the period runs above the period, price will be considered in an uptrend. If the period runs below the period, price will be considered in a downtrend. It stands as another trend confirmation tool. The indicator denotes uptrends when the Aroon up is above Aroon down.
Likewise, downtrends will be represented with the Aroon down above the Aroon up. With the period SMA positively sloped throughout, this means we remain focused on long trades. Trade signals are generated whenever the period moving linear regression pink line is above the period line teal and Aroon is showing an uptrend as well i.
These areas are marked off by the vertical white lines below. Of these five opportunities, four of them finished in-the-money and one was approximately breakeven. Moving linear regression can also be used in the context of finding price reversals in the market. When the periods are shorter they are more reactive to price action and therefore more likely to diagnose reversals more quickly. The 5-period moving above the period indicates a bullish crossover, while the 5-period moving below the period denotes a bearish crossover.
To increase the statistical probability of any given signal, we will use Keltner channels in conjunction with the crossovers. So the strategy will be to wait for a bounce off the Keltner channel to coincide with a moving linear regression line crossover in the same direction. For trade exits, we can take a touch of the middle band of the Keltner channel. Price begins to challenge the top band of the Keltner channel, but the fast moving linear regression line remains above the slow denoting no reversal in the trend.
Price continues along the top band until the slow line moves above the fast. At this point we can enter into a short trade. The red arrow identifies the entry while the white arrow identifies the trade exit. We did see a shallow move down following this entry but the uptrend continued after this point and never made it down to the midline of the channel.
Once the fast line moved above the slow representing an official resumption of the uptrend , this trade was closed out at a small loss.
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