chase betting baseball

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Chase betting baseball world star betting kktc son

Chase betting baseball

A chase system closely resembles the old Martingale betting strategy of simply doubling up after a loss, with the expectation of recovering any previous losses and showing a profit when you do win. If you were guaranteed a winning bet within three plays, the chase system would work fine, but there are no sure things in sports betting.

As an example, if a chase system says to bet the New York Mets, the Mets could lose their next six games. If they win the seventh game, a bettor following the sequence would show a record of in the seven games they bet. But the system would be credited with a record of on the premise that the sequence was successful. Either way, you are going to be risking much more money than you stand to win. If the bettor wins the first bet, they will start a new sequence. It does happen.

But when it happens with a chase system it can get awfully expensive in a hurry and will knock all the best-funded sports bettors out of the picture. Let's say that we decided to "chase" a three-game series between the Chicago Cubs and Washington Nationals. Generally, we would be "chasing" the Nationals because we know that they're going to be underdogs for all three games.

It is possible to "chase" the favorite in a series, but the math is more complicated. The goal here is one win out of the Nationals in the three games that these teams are going to play. That's it. That's all we need: one win. It's called a "chase" because you're chasing one victory. And because Washington will be getting plus-money as a dog in each contest we're guaranteed a profit as long as we price our bets properly.

But here's where the chase gets interesting: if you lose the first two games of the chase your next bet should be double what you've lost on those wagers in Game 3. In theory, this is a solid betting strategy that requires the cool of Sinatra and the discipline of the Ayatollah. Baseball is tailor made for this type of betting because of the length of series and frequency of games each week. Even the worst teams in the league win 60 games a.

If you can add some filters and anticipate series where the inferior team can manage to avoid getting swept then you stand to make a healthy profit. However, there aren't too many bettors I know that aim to win just 40 percent of their wagers.

Obviously, the Sweep is the mortal enemy of the series chase. At the All-Star break roughly 10 percent of all series ended with one team failing to win a single game. It's not much, but over the course of a season it all adds up. If a Sweep is the archrival of chase betting than Game 1 wins are its soul mate. Game 3 wins are the next best thing from a mathematical standpoint if not a psychological one.

I know, I know: the math here is dizzying and boring. But the bottom line is that if you find a series where one team will be an underdog for all three games and they are playing a shaky team that's bound to have one weak performance then it's a solid strategy. Teams like the Yankees and Cubs, for example, are frequently overvalued yet don't produce sweeps at a rate beyond the norm for Major League teams. Clubs like the Indians and Brewers aren't great fielding squads or have leaky bullpens, which makes them susceptible to getting upset once or twice.

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I think I have a threshold for psychological pain beyond that of a member of the general populace. Screaming kids on the subway don't' rattle me. Watching midgets molest a Shetland pony at a frat party doesn't get my pulse up. But one thing that I simply don't have the stomach for is chase betting. I mean, I consider myself a pretty levelheaded gambler, one that can keep it together right before the point of impact. But you have to have balls the size of Condoleezza Rice's to get involved with chase betting.

For those of you that don't know what that is, "chase betting" is a specific style and theory of wagering that can be successful and profitable if performed with discipline and diligence. However, there is a chance that things can go horribly wrong - like Year Two of Terrell Owens in Philly wrong - and even when things go right it's tough to maintain your composure.

The best way to explain chase betting is to give an example. Let's say that we decided to "chase" a three-game series between the Chicago Cubs and Washington Nationals. Generally, we would be "chasing" the Nationals because we know that they're going to be underdogs for all three games. It is possible to "chase" the favorite in a series, but the math is more complicated. The goal here is one win out of the Nationals in the three games that these teams are going to play.

That's it. That's all we need: one win. It's called a "chase" because you're chasing one victory. And because Washington will be getting plus-money as a dog in each contest we're guaranteed a profit as long as we price our bets properly. But here's where the chase gets interesting: if you lose the first two games of the chase your next bet should be double what you've lost on those wagers in Game 3. In theory, this is a solid betting strategy that requires the cool of Sinatra and the discipline of the Ayatollah.

Baseball is tailor made for this type of betting because of the length of series and frequency of games each week. Even the worst teams in the league win 60 games a. If you can add some filters and anticipate series where the inferior team can manage to avoid getting swept then you stand to make a healthy profit. However, there aren't too many bettors I know that aim to win just 40 percent of their wagers.